One month of Balen-led government shows it is strong, but questions remain about its efficiency

Nepal’s political landscape has entered an unusual and potentially transformative phase with the rise of Balendra Shah. Popularly known as Balen, the 36-year-old leader assumed office on March 27, 2026, following a sweeping electoral victory that delivered his party, the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP), a near two-thirds majority in the 275-member House of Representatives (HoR), the lower house of federal parliament.

This outcome alone would have been remarkable in any context, but in Nepal—where coalition instability has been the norm since the restoration of democracy in 1990—it represents a profound political rupture. The March 5 parliamentary election was shaped by extraordinary circumstances. The protests of September 8–9, which led to the fall of the government led by KP Sharma Oli and the dissolution of Parliament, created a volatile yetdecisive moment. The deaths of 19 students during those protests became a rallying point for public anger and a symbol of state failure.

The election that followed was not merely a contest for power; it was a referendum on an entire political order. Established parties such as Nepali Congress (NC), Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist), and Maoistswere voted out, marking the first time since 1990 that they were collectively excluded from power. Their strength declined significantly, putting pressure on long-time leaders to step down. 

This shift was also generational. Out of the 275-member HoR, more than 100 members are below 40. The average age of lawmakers has dropped to 44 from the earlier 54. The cabinet is also dominated by younger faces: out of 15 ministers, 9 are below 40. The rise of Shah reflects the aspirations of a younger electorate—often described as the Gen Z movement—which demands accountability, efficiency, digital freedom, and a break from entrenched political practices.

More importantly, the election results have created a rare sense of optimism about political stability. For decades, Nepal has struggled with short-lived governments and policy inconsistency. The expectation now is that a strong majority government could complete its full five-year tenure—something no administration has achieved in over three decades.

Against this backdrop, the first month of Balen Shah’s government has been closely scrutinized. Early signs suggest a leadership that is energetic and assertive, but still grappling with the complexities of governance. In some areas, the new prime minister has broken from past traditions.

One key signal is that he is not operating under the influence of anyone, including his own party. Although he is a senior leader of the RSP, he appears intent on running an apolitical government, perhaps influenced by his experience as an independent mayor of Kathmandu. Similarly, he has been avoiding public programs and focusing on administrative work in Singha Durbar. Consultations between PM Shah and Party Chairman Rabi Lamichhane on government issues remain a matter of guesswork. PM Balen has not shown interest to attend party meetings. 

PM Shah is communicating more through actions than rhetoric. However, he is under scrutiny for not speaking in Parliament or engaging with the media. Except on a few issues, opposition parties have not taken a hard position on government decisions, and as Prime Minister he has not reached out to opposition parties, except the interaction with lawmakers form all political parties. 

One of the government’s immediate priorities was to ensure accountability for the killings during the September protests. Acting on a report by former justice Gauri Bahadur Karki, the administration initiated action against key figures from the previous government, including Ramesh Lekhak. The arrests of Oli and Lekhak sent a powerful message that even the most influential leaders could be held accountable. For many citizens—especially the families of the victims—this was a long-overdue step toward justice.

However, the manner in which these arrests were carried out has sparked debate. Critics, including legal experts and opposition parties, have questioned whether due process was followed. A month later, the government attorney has yet to file formal charges, reportedly due to insufficient evidence. This delay underscores a critical challenge: while political will is essential for accountability, it cannot substitute for institutional capacity and legal rigor. If the government is to build a credible rule-of-law framework, it must ensure that its actions are not only decisive but also procedurally sound.

On the governance front, the administration has moved quickly to outline its agenda. The first cabinet meeting introduced a 100-point plan to be implemented within 100 days, with a strong emphasis on anti-corruption and administrative reform. This ambitious roadmap is designed to demonstrate urgency and commitment, and there have already been some tangible steps in this direction.

The formation of a high-level commission to investigate the assets of public officials addresses a long-standing public perception that corruption is deeply embedded within the state apparatus. Similarly, law enforcement agencies have launched investigations into businessmen and intermediaries accused of financial misconduct. Prime Minister Shah has also taken action within his own cabinet, dismissing two ministers over allegations of financial misconduct and conflicts of interest.

The resignation of Home Minister Sudan Gurung amid allegations of undisclosed business ties, and the controversy surrounding Labor Minister Deepak Kumar Sah, further highlight the government’s willingness to confront ethical lapses within its ranks. These moves have strengthened the perception that the administration is serious about integrity. 

There have also been modest improvements in public service delivery. Reports suggest that government offices are functioning more efficiently, with shorter waiting times and fewer bureaucratic obstacles. While these changes may seem incremental, they are significant in a context where inefficiency has long been normalized. The challenge will be to sustain and institutionalize these improvements rather than relying on short-term administrative pressure.

The new government has also taken measures to depoliticize state institutions such as universities and civil service, which has drawn mixed reactions. Some have said that it is a positive move, as state institutions over the past four decades were highly politicized, while others argue that the government’s decision to dismantle student unions and trade unions goes against the constitution.

The economic dimension presents a more complex picture. The private sector initially welcomed the emergence of a stable government, viewing it as an opportunity for policy consistency and economic reform. The administration’s emphasis on governance as the foundation for prosperity has resonated with business leaders, and some measures to improve the business environment have been well received.

At the same time, concerns have begun to emerge. The arrest of prominent businessmen as part of anti-corruption investigations has raised fears about the investment climate which is already worse. Business leaders have warned that such actions, if perceived as arbitrary or excessive, could discourage investment and even lead to capital flight. Finance Minister Swarnim Wagle has sought to reassure the private sector, emphasizing that enforcement actions will be limited and necessary, particularly in the context of efforts to remove Nepal from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) grey list.

This tension reflects a broader dilemma: how to enforce accountability without undermining economic confidence. A credible reform agenda must strike a balance between strict enforcement and predictability. Investors need assurance that rules will be applied fairly and consistently—not selectively or unpredictably. Nepal’s economy is forecast to grow by 2.7 percent in the fiscal year 2026, down from 4.6 percent in the previous year, according to the Asian Development Bank.

In foreign policy, the government has adopted a cautious and pragmatic approach. It has signaled continuity rather than major changes, with a focus on economic diplomacy and balanced relations with neighboring countries. The idea of transforming Nepal into a “vibrant bridge” between regional powers has generated debate, particularly among analysts who question this conceptual framing.

Engagements with international actors have been relatively low-key. The visit of U.S. Assistant Secretary Paul Kapur and reported interactions with Chinese officials indicate ongoing diplomatic activity, but the government has not yet fully articulated a distinct foreign policy identity. Prime Minister Shah’s decision not to hold individual meetings with foreign ambassadors—at least so far—marks a departure from past practices and may reflect either a deliberate shift or a lack of diplomatic prioritization. 

Foreign Minister Shisir Khanal met his Indian Counterpart S. Jaishankar at the Indian Ocean Conference, and both sides have indicated that preparations are underway for Prime Minister Shah’s visit to India.

The international community has responded overwhelmingly, with major countries and development partners showing strong interests in supporting the priority areas outlined by the new government.  While response vary among partners, India and several Western countries have shown strong interests in working with the new government, particularly given its youth-led leadership and internationally educated team. China’s response has been more measured in comparison, reflecting broader strategic consideration. 

Domestically, the government has also initiated discussions on constitutional reform. A panel led by political advisor Ashim Shah has been tasked with exploring possible amendments. While there is broad agreement among political parties on the need for constitutional change, progress has been slow due to limited engagement from opposition groups.

The reluctance of parties like the NC and CPN-UML to participate actively suggests that political polarization remains a significant obstacle. Despite its strong parliamentary majority, the government cannot unilaterally drive constitutional reform without broader consensus. This highlights an important reality: a strong mandate simplifies governance but does not eliminate the need for negotiation and inclusion.

One of the defining characteristics of the current administration is its generational shift. With most cabinet members under 40, this is the youngest government in Nepal’s recent history. The decision to reduce the number of ministries from 24 to fewer than 17 further reflects an effort to streamline governance and enhance efficiency. While these changes are promising, they also come with risks. Younger leaders may bring fresh perspectives, but they may also lack the experience needed to navigate complex institutional and political dynamics.

After one month, it is clear that Balen Shah’s government is active, ambitious, and reform-oriented. It has taken bold steps to signal a break from the past and to address long-standing issues of corruption and inefficiency. However, it is still too early to conclude that it has become truly efficient. Efficiency in governance is not measured solely by speed or decisiveness; it requires consistency, institutional strength, and adherence to due process. The government’s early actions have generated both optimism and concern—hope for change, but also questions about execution.

The coming months will be crucial. If the administration can translate its initial momentum into sustainable reforms, it could mark the beginning of a new era in Nepali politics. If not, it risks becoming another chapter in the country’s long history of unfulfilled promises. For now, the verdict remains open: Nepal’s strong government is moving toward efficiency, but it has not yet fully arrived.

 

11 injured in Dhading micro bus accident

At least 11 persons were injured in a micro bus accident near Adamghat in Gajuri Rural Municipality-6, Dhading on Sunday.

The vehicle (Bagmati Pradesh 006 Kha 7221) was heading towards Pokhara from Kathmandu when the incident occurred.

The injured have been taken to a nearby health facility for treatment.

Further investigation into the incident is underway, said police. 

Demolition of illegal structures begins at Manohara

The government has continued demolition of squatters' huts and houses by evacuating the illegal dwellers in various public places, especially the river bank of Kathmandu Valley.

On the second day of the evacuation and demolition drive, security forces reached Manohara river bank in Bhaktapur along with heavy equipment and operators early this morning. 

They began flattening the illegal structures from 9 am..

Chief of District Police Premises, Surya Bahadur Khadka, said that the demolition of illegal structures kicked off with mobilization of 1,300 Nepal Police personnel and 600 Armed Police Force personnel from Bhaktapur district.

Some persons settling illegally had said they would dismantle their huts till 9 am. Then, the demolition team including Kathmandu Metropolitan City's dozers reached the site and began to clean up.

The structures were flattened only after the settlers evacuated with removal of their chattels. There are 777 huts in the riverbank settlement, which are raised over time. 

Seven concrete houses set up illegally were razed on Saturday evening, which, however, faced hostility by the squatters, leaving 22 security personnel injured.

 

US engagement with new government signals a shifting approach

US Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asian Affairs, Samir Paul Kapur, concluded a three-day visit to Nepal on April 22, marking the highest-level US visit since the new government took office. Ahead of Nepal’s March 5 election, Kapur had expressed confidence that the vote would be peaceful and said the US was prepared to work with the incoming government. Briefing the US House Foreign Affairs Committee in February, he stated: “With Nepal, we trust there will be a secure and peaceful electoral process, and we are prepared to work with whoever wins.”

In his testimony, Kapur placed Nepal within a broader US strategic outlook for South Asia, alongside developments in countries such as Bangladesh, where political transitions have recently drawn international attention. His subsequent visit to Dhaka in early March reflects continued US engagement across the region during periods of political transition.

A key underlying theme in his remarks was the strategic importance of Nepal’s geographic position between India and China. US lawmakers have increasingly emphasized that South Asia’s balance of power matters for global economic stability. Kapur explicitly noted that preventing dominance by any single power in the region remains a central US objective.

He warned that the emergence of a “hostile power dominating South Asia” could translate into broader coercive leverage over the global economy—underscoring how regional geopolitics is now directly tied to global economic security. Kapur also highlighted that smaller South Asian states—including Nepal, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, and Sri Lanka—are strategically significant but structurally vulnerable to external pressures, particularly through what he described as debt-driven influence mechanisms.

Against this backdrop, he outlined US priorities in the region: expanding trade and economic connectivity, strengthening defence and security cooperation, and supporting partners through diplomacy, investment, and institutional engagement.

The underlying message is clear: the US is increasingly framing South Asia not just as a development region, but as a strategic balance zone—where economic tools, connectivity, and institutional partnerships are deployed alongside traditional diplomacy.

This presents an opportunity for Nepal. The pattern of engagements matters, and this visit reflects a shift in how external actors—particularly the US—are approaching the country. Kapur’s visit appeared mission-driven rather than ceremonial, suggesting a targeted effort rather than symbolic diplomacy. His engagement with Rabi Lamichhane, chairperson of the Rastriya Swatantra Party, signals attention to Nepal’s evolving political landscape and the rise of non-traditional actors. It reflects an interest in governance narratives centered on anti-corruption, technocratic leadership, and service delivery.

Equally notable was the absence of meetings with top state leadership such as the president, prime minister, or army chief. This suggests a deliberate shift from conventional protocol—an exploratory approach that keeps distance from established power structures while focusing more on political economy than security.

The emphasis on engagements with foreign and finance ministries indicates that economic diplomacy is at the core of US priorities. This aligns with a broader approach that competes through capital, regulatory standards, and governance frameworks rather than solely through security partnerships. Key areas of focus include the investment climate, regulatory predictability, infrastructure, energy, and governance-linked economic systems.

Outreach to business leaders further signals that engagement is increasingly being built through markets, not just ministries. It reflects recognition of Nepal’s underutilized private sector and an interest in identifying credible local partners for international capital. Kapur also visited Patan Durbar Square and Boudhanath Stupa, highlighting Nepal’s Newari and Tibetan cultural heritage. He noted that US support for preserving such sites contributes to economic growth while safeguarding shared cultural values. His interaction with the Tibetan community in Kathmandu—and his call for attention to their concerns—signals continued US engagement on Tibet-related issues, a sensitive area given Nepal’s adherence to the One-China policy.

Unlike traditional diplomatic visits, this one appeared less ceremonial and more strategic—politically exploratory, economically focused, selective in protocol, and multi-channel in outreach. The visit can be interpreted as a calibration mission rather than a courtesy call. Its likely objectives include mapping Nepal’s evolving political landscape, re-anchoring US influence in the economic domain, diversifying engagement beyond state actors, and testing Nepal’s strategic flexibility amid intensifying regional competition.

At its core, the approach reflects economic statecraft as a substitute for overt political alignment—shaping the environment in which outcomes emerge rather than attempting to directly control them. The visit also unfolds against intensifying geopolitical competition in South Asia, where India has traditionally held significant influence. New Delhi appears to view increased US engagement with a mix of strategic alignment and cautious watchfulness.

On one hand, there is convergence with Washington on balancing China’s expanding regional role. On the other, India remains sensitive to any external presence that could dilute its influence in what it has long considered its immediate sphere. This reflects both opportunity and concern.

Indian analysts have also pointed to internal political developments in Nepal—particularly the consolidation of major communist parties—as a factor that could expand China’s leverage. This has prompted some within India’s strategic circles to call for closer coordination with the US, even as there is growing recognition that India’s traditional influence is evolving and requires a more deliberate, strategy-driven approach.

At the same time, China has signaled concern over the intensifying US presence. In the lead-up to the visit, Beijing’s representatives in Kathmandu cautioned against activities linked to Tibet and Taiwan, underscoring China’s priority that Nepal not become a platform for anti-China political or security agendas.

China continues to advance its economic footprint through initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative, framing development cooperation as the central pillar of its engagement. The broader picture is one of intensifying strategic signaling, with both Washington and Beijing testing the boundaries of influence.

For Kathmandu, the message is clear: the opportunity is significant. External actors are engaging despite political fluidity, not waiting for stability. Nepal is seen as strategically relevant even in transition. Future partnerships will depend less on ideology and more on governance quality, regulatory credibility, and economic openness.

The bottom line is that this was not a routine visit—it was a quiet strategic probe. The absence of top-level meetings is not a gap; it is the signal. The US appears to be looking beyond the current state structure—toward the next phase of Nepal’s political economy.