Balen’s diplomacy
Barring any dramatic political developments, Balendra Shah is poised to become Nepal’s next prime minister following the strong electoral performance of the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) in the March 5 election for the House of Representatives.
RSP Chairman Rabi Lamichhane and senior leader Shah have already begun receiving congratulatory messages from the international community after the party emerged as the largest force in parliament.
Despite their rapid political rise, however, both leaders remain relatively inexperienced in the realm of foreign policy and international relations.
Over the past three decades, a number of leaders have engaged with these countries, and vice versa. However, under Balen’s leadership, the situation will be entirely new. Aside from existing institutional memory, bilateral issues will be discussed afresh.
Shah served as mayor of Kathmandu Metropolitan City for three years but engaged with the international community only in a limited capacity. During his tenure, he avoided several official visits to major countries and showed little interest in expanding international ties. Some of his remarks and decisions related to foreign countries also stirred controversy.
Lamichhane briefly headed the Ministry of Home Affairs, a role that gave him opportunities to meet foreign diplomats and visiting delegations in Kathmandu, providing him with some exposure to the concerns of major powers.
Although both leaders have spoken little about Nepal’s foreign policy, the RSP election manifesto offers clues about the priorities of a potential Shah-led government. The party advocates what it calls “balanced and dynamic diplomacy,” aiming to transform Nepal from a traditional buffer state into a “vibrant bridge” between its two giant neighbors — India and China — through strategic partnerships, connectivity and development cooperation. The party has also emphasized leveraging the economic rise of India and China to accelerate Nepal’s development.
In the past three years, Shishir Khanal, who headed the party’s international department, often spoke publicly on foreign policy issues on behalf of the RSP. In talks with representatives of foreign countries, Khanal states that his party’s key priorities are good governance and economic prosperity, and that any dialogue with other countries should be based on these agenda.
During the same period, Swarnim Wagle, an RSP lawmaker, also commented frequently on foreign policy matters and is therefore likely to play a key role in shaping the foreign policy direction of the incoming government. For years, Wagle has argued that Nepal must better understand the aspirations and concerns of rising powers such as India and China. “Rising powers have legitimate interests and aspirations, and they also have certain red lines which we must understand,” Wagle has said in the past.
In a recent post on X following a phone conversation with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Lamichhane said the RSP-led government would prioritize development diplomacy. This suggests that Nepal’s primary engagement with major powers would focus on economic collaboration rather than broader strategic issues.
“We look forward to a partnership with India that scales new heights through cooperation in connectivity, cultural tourism, energy and trade, ensuring a prosperous future for the people of both countries,” Lamichhane wrote. Modi, in the same conversation, reaffirmed India’s commitment to working with Nepal’s incoming government on “mutual prosperity, progress and well-being.” He expressed confidence that bilateral ties would scale new heights in the coming years.
However, contentious issues such as the boundary dispute and the 1950 India-Nepal Treaty of Peace and Friendship are likely to resurface when Shah eventually visits New Delhi. In his role as the mayor of Kathmandu Metropolitan City, he raised the issue regarding the map. As in the past, the new government may face domestic pressure to raise these matters with India. Relations with New Delhi remain crucial for Nepal’s domestic political and economic stability.
The United States also congratulated the Nepali people for holding the election and said it looked forward to working with the incoming government on the shared goals of prosperity and security. The reference to “security” has sparked debate within Nepal’s political and security circles. Washington appears eager to begin a new chapter in bilateral relations with a government led by younger leaders who are exposed to western values and culture.
Ahead of the election, Samuel J. Paparo, commander of the United States Indo-Pacific Command, visited Nepal and praised the country’s role in promoting regional stability, disaster preparedness and peacekeeping. Meanwhile, Bill Huizenga, chairman of the US House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on South and Central Asia, said recent elections in Nepal and Bangladesh present new opportunities for US engagement in South Asia.
At a congressional hearing on US policy in the region, Huizenga described South and Central Asia as a dynamic region where young populations are increasingly drawn to Western cultures and values. For the administration of Joe Biden, trade and security remain key priorities.
Following the 2025 September Gen Z movement that triggered the political upheaval, China initially remained largely silent. However, with the arrival of a new ambassador in Kathmandu, Beijing has become more vocal. China also congratulated Nepal on successfully conducting the election.
Speaking at a press briefing on March 6, Mao Ning, spokesperson for China’s Foreign Ministry, said Beijing valued its traditionally friendly ties with Nepal and looked forward to strengthening the strategic partnership between the two countries. China’s key priorities include implementing agreements reached during Chinese President Xi Jinping’s 2019 visit to Nepal and advancing projects under the Belt and Road Initiative.
Although RSP leaders historically had limited engagement with major powers, international outreach toward the party increased after it emerged as the fourth-largest party in the 2022 general election. Senior RSP leaders have since visited India and held meetings with leaders of the Bharatiya Janata Party and Indian government officials.
China has also cultivated contacts with RSP leaders. In 2024, a 14-member delegation led by Wagle visited China but cut short the trip following Lamichhane’s arrest. Another senior RSP figure, Indira Rana, the former deputy speaker of the now-dissolved House of Representatives, frequently traveled to China and participated in programs organized by the Chinese embassy in Kathmandu.
As Nepal prepares for a possible political transition under a new generation of leaders, the coming months will test how the RSP balances relations with global and regional powers while pursuing its vision of development-driven diplomacy.
Inquiry Commission recommends action against Oli and Lekhak among others
The Inquiry Commission formed to investigate the Gen Z protest of September 8 and the violent incidents that followed on September 9 has found former Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli and former Home Minister Ramesh Lekhak responsible and recommended action against them.
The Commission led by former Special Court Chairman Gauri Bahadur Karki submitted its report to Prime Minister Sushila Karki on Sunday.
According to a source, the Commission has also held the then Home Secretary Gokarna Mani Duwadi, Inspector General of Police (IGP) Chandrakuber Khapung, and the then Chief District Officer Chhabi Rijal responsible in the incident and recommended action against them.
Speaking to mediapersons after handing over the report, Commission Chairman Karki said, "The report we submitted should be made public and implemented immediately. We have recommended legal action against those whose negligence led to the death of young people in the September 8 incident."
Nineteen people died, including 17 in Baneshwor Chowk and two in Sunsari on September 8 while 57 more people died on September 9, bringing the total number of deaths to 76 in two days.
According to the report, properties worth around Rs 84 were damaged during the unrest.
On September 9, protesters vandalized and set fire on
government offices, commercial buildings, and private properties, including Singha Durbar and Supreme Court among others.
Former AIG Bigyan Raj Sharma and legal expert Bishweshwar Bhandari conducted a detailed analysis of the incident.
Samson and Bumrah star as India beat NZ to retain T20 World Cup title
India became the first team to retain the men's Twenty20 World Cup title after handing out a 96-run demolition of New Zealand in the final at the Narendra Modi Stadium ‌on Sunday, Reuters reported.
India also became the first team to lift the title three times, while New Zealand's wait for a maiden white-ball World Cup continues.
The victory will taste particularly sweet for India since it came at a venue where they were beaten by Australia in the final of the 50-overs World Cup three years ago, according to Reuters.
Inquiry Commission submits report on GenZ movement to government
The Inquiry Commission formed to investigate the incidents that occurred during the GenZ movement on September 8 and 9 submitted its report to the government on Sunday.
A team of the Commission reached Singha Durbar this morning and handed over the report to Prime Minister Sushila Karki.
The interim government had formed a commission of inquiry on September 21 under the headship of former Judge Gauri Bahadur Karki to investigate the incidents that unfolded during the Gen Z movement and allegations of excessive use of force by state authorities.
Initially, the Commission was granted a three-month deadline to submit the report. However, the government extended the deadline after the Commission failed to complete the investigation within the stipulated time.
AIG Bigyan Raj Sharma and Bishweshwor Prasad Bhandari were the members of the Commission.
A total of 74 people lost their lives in the protests.
During the protests, various public institutions, including Singha Durbar, the country's administrative center and the Supreme Court, were vandalized and set on fire.



