People are not convinced by PM Oli’s promises, not yet
It has been over two and a half months since CPN-UML Chairman KP Sharma Oli became the country’s prime minister for the second time, following a thumping victory of his left alliance in last year’s elections. Soon after assuming office, he cobbled together a lean cabinet, comprised of relatively clean figures like Lal Babu Pandit and Gokarna Bista who have a proven record in government. Oli then brought important state organs like the Department of Money Laundering Investigation and the National Investigation Department under the direct purview of the PMO, apparently to make them more effective. His recent crackdown on cartels and syndicates of various hues has also been widely hailed. Moreover, there are signs that his dream of connecting Nepal with India and China through railways could also materialize soon.
But despite such promising signals, there is a lot of skepticism about the new prime minister’s intent. “Prime Minister Oli seems to be in a mood to centralize powers, which is antithetical to the spirit of federalism,” says Ujjwal Prasai, a writer. “He is using public support to strengthen himself, which is no different from what the Panchayat rulers used to do.”
Prasai points out how even the party-less Panchayat had survived for 30 years, as it enjoyed “a degree of public support”. In following a “tried and tested” method of centralized governance, Prasai thinks PM Oli is taking the country on a dangerous path. “If there is one lesson of our failed experiment with Panchayat, it is that development is possible only with broad public participation in decision-making.”
Words are not enough
Suman Dahal, a lecturer at Apex College in Old Baneshwor, also sees a troubling pattern in how Oli is governing. “We hear the prime minister making big announcements. He says he will bring railways from India and China. He says he will end the reign of syndicates. But how do we know he is not saying these things off the top of his head?”
Dahal is not assured about the virtues of eradicating syndicates either. “What if removing the transport syndicates is not in the interest of the common people? I mean: Does the prime minister have hard data on how the removal of syndicates will actually help folks like us? Without proper homework, what if, for instance, transport fares go up rather than down?”
Upendra Gautam of China Study Center echoes Dahal’s doubts. “The prime minister’s announcement of a crackdown on various cartels and syndicates will be meaningless unless they are backed by strong and consistent action.”
Gautam cites how more developed countries use different proxies to gauge the effectiveness of their government. “For instance, it is generally thought that if a country has well-enforced traffic rules, other public services also function effectively,” Gautam adds. “But the enforcement of traffic rules in Nepal is extremely lax. So what are the metrics with which we judge this government? Words are not enough.”
In the opinion of security analyst Geja Sharma Wagle, “This is perhaps the strongest government democratic Nepal has ever had. Yet it has been unable to make decisions commensurate with such power.”
What kind of decisions is Wagle talking about?
“Take the prime minister’s decision to bring the National Investigation Department and the Department of Money Laundering Investigation under the PMO. Having done so, he should have immediately set about drafting the requisite policies and regulations to make them work. Yet he has done nothing of the kind,” Wagle says.
Unintended consequences
Wagle brings up other unintended consequences of the centralization of power. “Now that the government’s intelligence-gathering unit has been brought under the PMO, the Home Ministry has been deprived of a crucial source of security-related information—with grave ramifications down the line,” he adds.
Prasai, the writer, believes the prime minister is pandering to people’s desire to consume more and more—to have wider roads, bigger airports and comfortable homes—without a broader debate on whether such an approach is in the country’s best interest. “PM Oli likes to talk about bringing railways from India and China but he seldom discloses their cost. Are such expensive railway links worth it?” he asks.
Gautam of China Study Center, for his part, says he has seen too many governments in Nepal in his lifetime, and how they have miserably failed people after promising so much at the outset. “So let us hope that this government is different, but let us also wait a bit before we start trusting it.”
“All the while PM Oli has been projecting himself as a visionary,” says Asmita Verma, who has just completed her Masters in International Relations from Amity University in New Delhi. “But he has thus far unveiled no roadmap for the much-touted development and prosperity.”
Verma sees Oli’s gestures like addressing the country on the Nepali new year from Rara Lake and his adoption of children to educate them as nothing but “populist gimmicks, which he is quite good at.”
But what about foreign policy? Hasn’t the communist prime minister done a rather good job of balancing Nepal’s two important neighbors? “His overtures to the outside world are ill-prepared and incoherent, as if he is trying to balance himself on two different boats,” says Verma.
And then, Madhes
In contrast, Hari Bansh Jha, a former professor of economics at Tribhuvan University and currently a visiting fellow at India’s Observer Research Foundation, credits Oli for bringing a degree of warmth back to Nepal-India ties. But again, when it comes to the domestic sphere, he too believes “there has been no substantive change.”
“If PM Oli says that per capita income of Nepalis has grown along with our GPD, we have to remember that these are not overnight phenomena. The foundation for whatever turnaround in the economy we are witnessing was laid before Oli became prime minister,” Jha says.
He also thinks that the Oli government has ignored the Madhesi issue of constitution amendment, which would mean that the “Madhesis will continue to harbor a degree of resentment against Kathmandu.”
All in all, nearly everyone I talked to for this report—some cited, some not—seemed to agree that the all-powerful government of KP Oli could do much good. Some of his recent decisions have aroused a glimmer of hope. But people are not ready to believe him—not yet. These conversations also suggest that while Oli can perhaps afford to ignore the views of some members of the intelligentsia, as he recently suggested he would, he as the prime minister needs to pay attention to the hopes and fears of common folks .
Historic palace being rebuilt sans permit
Despite its cultural and archeological significance, the nearly six-century-old Mustang Palace doesn’t inspire much awe. In fact, the closed and decaying doors and windows give an impression that the palace is getting more decrepit. But the fresh layer of earth in some walls raised an obvious question: who is renovating the place? Historical records suggest that the Mustang Palace was constructed in 1440 following the establishment of an independent Mustang state. Besides the palace’s unique style that is appropriate for the high mountainous region, the tall walls surrounding the entire capital are an extra attraction. But the collapsed walls are a pathetic sight now. Within the confines of the walls are the palace, a Buddhist shrine and 170 houses built in ancient styles of architecture.
The palace is a five-storied building with 108 rooms. It houses important Buddhist texts, statues, ancient artifacts as well as over 300 sheep and mountain goats.
Coming back to the present, my investigation revealed that the palace’s façade is being redone by an NGO named HimalAsia Cultural Heritage and Educational Foundation, without the government’s knowledge. The NGO works on issues related to mountain culture and education and has offices in Germany and Sikkim besides one in Kathmandu.
Such unsupervised reconstruction threatens the palace’s originality. “Official indifference on the one hand and the NGO’s negligence in the name of reconstruction on the other have spoilt the palace’s traditional splendor,” says Madan Rimal, a culture expert. “No heritage building can be altered without government permission. The Department of Archaeology (DOA) has to take charge of the palace’s reconstruction.”
The DOA isn’t aware of the reconstruction work on the palace either. Director General Bhesh Narayan Dahal pleads ignorance and admits that his office hasn’t been able to take charge of the renovation even though it should. Following the monarchy’s abolition, the Mustang Palace has been reduced to a tourist attraction, and no more. While the government, through the Office of the Nepal Trust, has started conservation work on the palaces of the Shah kings, the Mustang Palace hasn’t drawn its attention. Ramchandra Tiwari, Chief District Officer (CDO) of Mustang, says he has no information about the palace’s reconstruction. “There is no record of any organization seeking permission for it. But we can certainly look into it,” says Tiwari.
However, Indra Dhara Bista, a Province 4 assembly member, says that in the absence of government funds, the palace’s renovation was commenced with the help of the NGO. “As the palace became dilapidated, it stopped attracting tourists. So we started renovating it, even though the money had to come from an NGO,” says Bista.
Susan Vonderheid, Director of HimalAsia, admits that her organization started reconstruction work on the palace without informing state authorities. “We started our work on the basis of our agreement with the Mustang Palace. We don’t know the rest,” she said.
The palace had already fallen victim to state apathy, and the 2015 earthquake only exacerbated its state. Tourists aren’t allowed inside the palace after the quake damaged its structure. “The palace must be conserved; this is our common concern,” says Rinjing Dorje Bista, chairperson of Lo Manthang rural municipality-5. “Upper Mustang is interesting and important not only because of its natural beauty but also because of its rich history, culture and archeology. The palace obviously has its own significance,” says Bista.
Some locals are preparing to launch an initiative to place the Mustang Palace and the settlement in its vicinity on the World Heritage List. “The bottom line is that the palace has to be restored to its former glory. All we ask is that there be an environment where domestic and foreign tourists visit this place to see the palace,” says Tashi Gurung, a local.
By Chhetu Sherpa | Lo Manthang, Mustang
Making sense of the long delay in left merger
Both India and Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli were in a mood to wrap up the unification process of CPN-UML and CPN (Maoist Center) before the start of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Nepal visit on May 11 and 12. As India has of late been dragged into a few controversies in Nepal, including, most notably, during the 2015-16 border blockade, New Delhi wanted to preempt the perception that the left unity had its blessings. For his part, PM Oli, who has in the past few years stood firm in his nationalist stand, would naturally want to safeguard the image of the new party from the damaging ‘pro-India’ label. But their desire could be thwarted, primarily because Maoist Chairman Pushpa Kamal Dahal wants ‘credible’ assurances that either he will be the prime minister after two and a half years or he will get to lead the combined left outfit post-merger. Yet it is hard to see what such assurances could be. If Dahal wants Oli to commit, in writing, to relinquishing the prime minister’s chair after some time, Oli could perhaps oblige. But such a commitment will be meaningless if, tomorrow, the rest of the UML leadership is not willing to accept him as their prime minister. Ditto with any assurances on the party’s chairmanship.
This is why Dahal has of late been hinting that he is looking for ‘collective assurances’ from the UML top brass. But with the UML still very divided on Dahal’s role in the new party, such a promise would be hard to get. Alternately, Dahal has proposed that party unification take place on a 50-50 basis, with near equal division of seats between UML and Maoist Center in all important decision-making bodies in the new party. That would make it easier for Dahal to stake a claim on either party leadership or the prime minister’s chair in the future. But then, a 50-50 division of spoils will be unacceptable to UML rank and file.
Interestingly, Dahal is also said to be open to party unification, even in unequal terms, if China is ready to act as a witness to the ‘gentleman’s agreement’ with Oli, whereby Oli commits to giving up one of the two executive posts at a fixed future date. Of course, Dahal cannot expect India, the other big external power in Nepal, to play that role because the Indians no longer trust him much.
Neither Oli nor Dahal can afford to be seen as backing down from the merger promise, which, after all, helped them secure a two-thirds majority in last year’s general and provincial elections. But signs are that it could take some time yet.
A religious debate in a secular Nepal
The government is set to bring strict laws against religious conversions. Currently, Christianity is rapidly spreading, raising concerns in a country which was until recently the only Hindu state in the world. Individuals, Hindu organizations, fringe political parties and even government offices have been accusing INGOs and Nepali churches of proselytizing the marginalized communities by offering them various incentives. In October 2017, President Bidhya Devi Bhandari signed into law a bill criminalizing religious conversions and any act that “hurts religious sentiments”. The law is set to come into effect from August.
“This is a clear violation of our human rights,” says Tanka Subedi, Senior Pastor/Founder at Lalitpur-based Family of God church. Subedi was born in a Nepali Christian family in Baglung. His mother was a Christian missionary in the 1970s and his family has always been devout Protestants. “Evangelical and Catholic churches existed in Nepal even before King Prithivi Narayan Shah embarked on his unification campaign. He drove away dozens of Christian families from the country, and the current government is trying to do the same now,” Subedi, who is also a human rights activist, says.
“We have thousands, perhaps millions, of Christians in Nepal now, and we have been living in harmony with people of other faiths for centuries. The government’s recent decision seems to be targeted at the Christians who vote and pay taxes, just like any other Nepali.”
According to the 2011 census, Christians make up less than 1.5 percent of Nepal’s population of about 29 million. The majority of Nepali Christians are evangelical Protestants. Although no recent government data is available, the number of new converts is speculated to have increased massively, particularly after the April 2015 earthquake and the entry of Christian missionaries involved in reconstruction and resettlement in rural regions. Various I/NGOs have been accused of distributing Bibles along with relief materials in the affected regions and of converting women and children in return for food and clothes.
“They can’t come to our homes and lure us into accepting their religion with money and magic,” says Mohan Banjade, former law secretary and one of the main proponents of the new laws against conversion. “Historically, Christianity is characterized by bloodshed and massive human exodus as the Roman church massacred millions of pagans. Even in modern times, Western countries where Christianity is the predominant religion have conquered and converted countless people in Africa and Asia.
Banjade says that the proselytizers’ main assertion that “their God is the only God and everyone else is inferior” is unacceptable. He has therefore been actively lobbying against religious conversions and I/NGOs involved in spreading Christianity in Nepal under the guise of humanitarian work. When asked if the government’s ban on religious conversion goes against the country’s secular character, Banjade says, “We have been fed wrong information on secularism. Secularism is a British concept devised to separate the state and the church at a time in history when the church played an active part in politics and was often stronger than the monarchs. What these dollar funded Christians are doing today is nether secular or democratic.”
There has of late been a rise in hostility between Nepali Hindus/Buddhists and the newly converted Christians. The hate-filled war of words between the adherents of the two religions has escalated on social media—for instance on Facebook pages like ‘People’s Campaign Against Christian Conversation—and is reaching a point where the discussion may easily boil over into open hostility.
Christian organizations claim that more than a million people in Nepal identify themselves as Christians, and the country has one of the fastest growing Christian populations in the world. According to the Federation of National Christian Nepal, 65 percent of Nepali Christians are Dalits. While the Christian organizations claim that it is people’s faith in their god that is converting born Hindus and Buddhists into Christians, other factors are clearly at play. For example the proportion of Christianity is high among those who have been traditionally discriminated against in the traditional Hindu caste structure and those from dirt poor families. Then there is the accusation that proselytizers even pay people to convert.
“This is not a religion but an industry,” Banjade says. “They do door-to-door marketing to hire new recruits and they are more loyal to London and Rome than they are to Nepal.” Banjade’s reference is to the hundreds of Christian missionaries distributing pamphlets and Bibles at people’s homes and public places. Their target is usually the so-called “lower castes” and indigent people. Housewives, unemployed youths and children are being lured into the churches with promises of food, music and equality. Also, many pastors perform ‘healing miracles’ that convince the old and the sick to get baptized.
“Those who engage in door-to-door marketing are not Christians, says Subedi of Family of God church, “They are either Jehovah’s Witnesses or followers of this Korean religion called Ahn Sahng-hong.” According to Subedi, converting to Christianity in protestant churches takes up to a year. A person wanting to convert needs to go to church regularly and be declared ‘qualified’ by the church to be converted. Also, before the final conversion, the person is asked if he/she is motivated by anything besides pure belief. Subedi may be talking about his and some other churches, but that doesn’t allay the concerns of those who have seen eyewitness accounts and videos of instant conversion of people in the quake-affected communities in Barpak and Laprak.
“It’s a sad thing for us. We’re selling our religion, our belief and our heritage for dollars,” says Mahendra Bhandari, a devout Hindu and a political activist. “We declared ourselves a secular state to please our neighbors and a few donors. We still have no problem living in harmony with our peers of other religions. But they have started discriminating against us. They claim that their God is the only God and we’re all ‘pagans’. How can they, whose religion is just 2000 years old, have the nerve to say that to us who are followers of an ancient religion?”
As the antagonism between Christians and non-Christians grows, the government’s decision to immediately ban religious conversion is unlikely to resolve the issue. Yes, if some NGOs are involved in forced conversions by offering people various incentives, they should be stopped. But if the goal is to lessen the growing resentment between different religions, cultures and castes in a country which has recently come out of a decade-long war and a huge natural disaster, then perhaps more needs to be done than merely passing new laws.