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Private Royal Guards in the UAE are not the nucleus of the defense forces. There are private companies involved in providing protection and security to the VIPs and important installations in coordination with national defense or the UAE police forces. For example, a specialized and high-tech defense solution company, the International Golden Group, has been supplying human resources to the UAE armed forces, ministry of interior and other defense-security authorities. Nepalis are part of the Royal Guard Abu-Dhabi and Royal Guard Dubai, but their numbers are hard to get. The civil security in the UAE has a troop strength exceeding 100,000, with approximately 1000 employed as armed guards. 

There are many private international and national contracting involved in recruiting armed guards in different parts of the world to lower the costs of war. The personnel needed for long-drawn-out military involvements in troubled nation states like Afghanistan are outsourced to countries whose GDP relies heavily on remittances from labor migration like Nepal. 

Repercussions on stability 

Nepal has a population of around 30m, and it is expected to reach 35.32m by 2050. It is a young country with 20.8 percent of the national population aged 16-25 years and 40.68 percent aged 16-40 years, pointing at a population surplus or a youth bulge.

But the downside is that the unemployment rate for youths aged 15-29 is 19.2 percent compared to 2.7 per cent of the whole population. According to estimates, over 500,000 Nepali youths enter the labor force every year. These figures indicate the quantitative dimension of the employment challenge, something which the state, including political leadership, needs to deal with.

Pensions and salaries are received in large amounts when a nation relies heavily on remittance. There are 125,000 Nepali retirees from the British, Indian and Singapore security forces, who received a total of Rs 61.9bn in pensions in 2021.

Over the years, the government of Nepal, along with the international community, has demonstrated commitment to addressing the root causes of violence and terrorism, focusing on economic development, political inclusivity and social harmony while dealing with armed outfits. 

Initially a rebel group, the Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) waged a decade-long (1996-2006) insurgency but transitioned into mainstream democratic politics after a peace agreement with the government. 

Some other outfits include the Janatantrik Tarai Mukti Morcha (JTMM) that advocates for the rights of the Madhesi community and the Nepal Defense Army (NDA), a splinter of the Maoists that opposed the peace process and resumed armed activities in the mid-2000s. 

Conclusion 

Historically, Nepalis have become part of the defense forces of other nations through treaties or agreements. Contractors and agents have been part of the warfare mostly visible after the Gulf War. Of late, Nepali youths’ vulnerability to unwanted recruitment and undesired migration has become a matter of serious concern. This situation has arisen due to the lack of relevant domestic policies, lack of political accountability and domestic governance priorities, in the wake of Russia’s offense in Ukraine ignoring the obligations as one of the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council (P5).

Given this context, the government should take immediate action and implement measures to prevent Nepali citizens from joining the armed forces or forces that are not part of treaties and/or bilateral  agreements reached through memorandums of understanding or agreements.

Nepali citizens becoming part of the Russian armed forces is contrary to the spirit of the position that Nepal took at the UN Security Council meeting in March 2022. Such participation goes against Nepal’s foreign policy of neutrality and non-alignment. 

Nepali citizens being part of Russian defense forces has four facets in the international geopolitical situation. It leads to the loss of international political trust as well as diplomatic unease and apprehension; contradicts Nepal’s non-aligned foreign policy as well as long-held stance at the UN, gives rise to political unaccountability and increases the risk of terrorist organizations, political parties or non-state actors using trained personnel. 

So, the government of Nepal and the Parliament need to keep a close watch on the activities of the citizens and circumstances surrounding them within the country and abroad. First, the government should revisit the rules and regulations regarding migration by adhering to the Universal Declaration of Human Rights of 10 Dec 1948 (General Assembly resolution 217A). Secondly, it should ensure the repatriation of Nepali citizens if they are part of any contradicting treaty or bilateral arrangement, entered particularly through agencies and contractors. Thirdly, for the country to effectively benefit from weapons-trained youths, a number of measures can be taken. 

They include the formulation of a clear transition and reintegration plan for the weapons-trained youths; implementation of a dedicated program for utilizing their skills in service of the country; their mobilization for strengthening intelligence cooperation; amendment in recruitment policies and procedures for assimilation; induction into reserve forces with attractive compensation packages; career progression opportunities and partnerships and collaborations with foreign armed forces where Nepali individuals are serving to exchange knowledge, training methodologies, and best practices. This can contribute to the overall professional development of Nepal’s security forces and help in leveraging the skills of weapons-trained individuals.

Overall, a comprehensive approach is required to address the social, economic, and psychological aspects of the reintegration process to maximize the benefits of weapons-trained Nepali youths for Nepal’s security. Such measures can contribute to a strong and capable security apparatus, ensuring the safety and well-being of the nation and its citizens.

The author is a Strategic Analyst, Major General (Retd) of the Nepali Army, and is associated with Rangsit University, Thailand

Environment is a multifaceted topic. 

Production—of food, electricity and other stuffs—is an indispensable part of life the world over. Paradoxically, production-oriented activities, so crucial for life, also contribute to environmental degradation. Therefore, striking a balance between production and nature conservation is essential. Taking the world two decades back, climate-wise—by bringing down temperatures—is a step worth considering, as it can make the climate more suitable for sustaining and nurturing life. 

Parts of Nepal experienced prolonged drought, followed swiftly by rain-triggered floods and landslides, pointing at erratic weather patterns.  This is worrisome. 

Despite Nepal’s minimal contribution to global climate change, it has been grappling with consequences observed in more developed nations.

Efforts to secure climate finance for mitigation and adaptation from prosperous nations have achieved limited success despite persistent lobbying on the part of developing/underdeveloped countries.

All nations should unite to combat the climate crisis because individual efforts won’t be enough.

The author is a veteran journalist

Vice President Ram Sahay Prasad Yadav on Monday left for China for a week-long official visit. He is due to attend the Seventh China-South Asia Exposition and twenty-seventh China Kunming Import and Export Fair.  

Vice President Yadav is also expected to hold some high-level talks with Chinese officials. This will be his first foreign visit after his election in March this year. He had expressed his wish to visit India first, but did not get an invitation from the southern neighbor.

China has increased its engagement with Nepal in recent days. There have been increased high-level visit exchanges between both countries, and these visits are not just limited at government-to-government level. Many visits have taken place at the party-to-party level as well. 

Communist Party of China has sent several of its delegation to Nepal and correspondingly, various political parties of Nepal have received invitations from the CPC. The series of visit exchanges between government officials and political party representatives is a clear sign that China accords high priority to Nepal.       

In meetings with Nepali officials, CPC leaders have said that they are willing to enhance cooperation and exchanges with Nepal in agriculture, poverty reduction and education to enrich the relationship between the two countries through subnational exchanges. 

China stepped up its engagement with Nepali parliamentarians as well, mainly after the endorsement of America’s Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC). 

Earlier in June, Chairman of the National Assembly Ganesh Prasad Timilsina visited China where he held talks with his counterpart Zhao Leji and other high-level government officials. Likewise in July, Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives Indira Rana-led parliamentary team visited China to attend the Eco Forum Global Guiyang-2023.

Amid flurry of visits, preparations are also underway for Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal’s visit to China in September. While Beijing has also extended an invite to President Ram Chandra Poudel, he is most likely to visit India first.   

Regarding the possible agenda of Prime Minister Dahal’s upcoming China visit, he has already said that some vital agreements relating to power-trade agreements and bilateral projects would be signed. But some experts say despite Prime Minister Dahal’s plan to sign a power trade agreement with China, it is not feasible. 

Ganesh Karki, chairman of Independent Power Producers’ Association, says after the construction of transmission lines, Nepal could be able to send a small amount of electricity to China, but Nepal’s main market is  India. 

Just like the transit and transport agreement, Dahal may have planned to give a symbolic message, but China cannot become a major market for power trade (see page 4 for detailed report). Of late, Chinese investment in Nepal’s hydropower sector is dwindling, while India has emerged as a dominant player. The Chinese side has been known to express displeasure with the Nepali officials over India’s dominance in Nepal’s energy sector.

For China, the implementation of Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in Nepal is the key priority area. But there is an unease in Nepal regarding the BRI after China listed Pokhara International Airport as part of the BRI. Nepali ministers have time and again dismissed the Chinese claim, saying that Nepal has yet to execute any project under the BRI.  

Officials say the first priority of Prime Minister Dahal, while talking with Beijing officials, will be to seek China’s concrete position on the BRI. 

Prime Minister Dahal has not spoken much about the BRI in recent days. Previously, he used to say that China should help construct at least one major project as a gift under the BRI.

Tanka Karki, former Nepali ambassador to China, says the prime minister’s imminent China visit should be focused on the implementation of past agreements signed between two countries including the BRI. If there are any problems regarding the implementation of the agreements, Dahal should communicate what those problems are.

The Chinese side has also been stressing the need of implementing the past agreements signed between the two countries during Chinese President Xi Jinping’s Nepal visit. But the coalition partners are not on the same page when it comes to engaging with China.

Along with the BRI, China has also been urging Nepal to make commitments on the Global Security Initiative, Global Development Initiative (GDI) and Global Civilization Initiative (GCI). Experts say the prime minister and government officials should clearly communicate their concerns and positions on these latest initiatives of China, and not rush into signing new agreements. 

There are a lot of agreements from which Nepal can take benefit, says Karki, but the focus should be on their implementation. He is of the view that there is no need of signing new agreements with China when the past agreements have not moved forward. 

Upendra Gautam, general secretary of China Study Center, says Prime Minister Dahal must take China into confidence when it comes to securing Beijing’s core interests, including bilateral territorial security mechanisms for stable trade, transit, transport, agriculture and cultural connectivity. 

Nepal’s longstanding and generally stable ties with China offers Prime Minister Dahal a rare historic opportunity to prove that he is not just a tool in the fractious South Asian politics dominated by India-China rivalry. 

If the prime minister plays his cards right, he can steer Nepal toward the path of prosperity by establishing mutually cooperative and highly reciprocal relationships with immediate neighbors.  

Nepal’s Ambassador to China Bishnu Pukar Shrestha says progress on rail and roadway connectivity are the key priority areas of Nepal which are the bedrock of boosting bilateral trade and investment. 

During Prime Minister Dahal’s China visit, Shrestha says Nepal will request the Chinese side to expedite the China-funded development projects in Nepal. 

He adds signing power trade agreements, increasing Chinese investment and resolving trade bottlenecks are also on the list of priorities. 

Key points for PM Dahal’s China trip

• Projects under BRI
• Bringing Chinese investment
• Implementation of transit and transport agreement
• Connectivity (road and railway)
• Mutual legal assistance
• Power Trade agreement
• Border management
• Removing trade bottlenecks
•  Resumption of joint military drill
• Global Security Initiative, Global Civilization Initiative  
• Peace and friendship treaty

The Nepali Congress has called on the main opposition CPN-UML to put an end to the parliamentary deadlock. 

Issuing a press statement, the NC said in light of the disasters caused by monsoon rains, it was crucial to address and discuss the matter in the Parliament. The party said it was irresponsible on the part of the UML to obstruct the House in a crisis situation.

Political stability is vital for the nation’s best interests, the party said in its statement, underscoring the need for effective efforts toward stability. 

Earlier, a meeting of the NC resolved to initiate discussions with both the ruling parties and other political factions, including the main opposition, to break the current parliamentary impasse.

Additionally, the meeting expressed concerns about a 100-kg illegal consignment of gold making it through the Tribhuvan International Airport despite the presence of various government agencies at the airport. The party urged the government to take necessary measures to control such illicit activities and called for an impartial investigation. It expressed confidence in the capabilities of the Central Investigation Bureau (CIB) of Nepal Police to probe the case. 

The NC also urged the government to address budgetary shortcomings, rectify reduced capital expenditure and effectively implement the current fiscal year’s budget.