With the formation of the UML-Maoist alliance, the NC is also likely to lose its strength in all seven provinces as well. The alliance has the required majority to form governments in all provinces. The UML is the largest party in Province 1 and Madhes, while the NC maintains the lead in the remaining five provinces.
In order to form a government in the 93-member Province 1 assembly, parties need the support of 47 members. The UML-led alliance currently has the support of 60 lawmakers, including 40 from UML, 13 from the Maoists, six from the Rastriya Prajatantra Party (RPP), and one from the Janata Samajbadi Party (JSP).
The seven-party alliance is also in a comfortable position in the 53-member assembly of Sudurpaschim assembly. The alliance has the support of 29 members: 11 from Maoists, 10 from UML, seven from Nagarik Unmukti Party (NUP), and one from RPP. In Bagmati province, a new government can be formed without the NC’s support.
In the 110-member assembly, the ruling alliance commands support of 61 members: 27 from UML, 21 from Maoists, and 13 from RPP. The coalition is also in a strong position in the 60-member assembly of Gandaki province, where UML, Maoists, and RPP have a total 32 seats.
The Madhes province assembly has 107 members. So, parties will need the support of 54 members to form a government. The alliance of seven parties currently holds 62 seats in the assembly: 23 from UML, eight from Maoists, 16 from Janata Samajbadi Party, 13 from the Janamat Party, one from the RPP, and one from NUP. Additionally, an independent group of lawmakers led by Prabhu Sah has also joined the alliance.
In the 87-member Lumbini province assembly, the seven-party alliance has 52 members, which is sufficient to form a government. UML and the Maoist Center have 29 and nine members, respectively, while the RRP and NUP have four members each and Janamat has three.
Similarly, the alliance also has a majority in the 40-member Karnali province assembly, with 24 members: 13 from Maoists, 10 from UML, and one from the RPP. This meets the requirement of 21 members to form a new government.
