The Nov 20 elections can be termed a direct contest between two sides because all major parties are contesting by forming two distinct alliances, one led by the Congress and another by the UML.
The members in the NC-led electoral alliance or the so-called democratic left alliance are the CPN (Maoist Center), CPN (Unified Socialist), Janata Samajbadi Party Nepal and Rastriya Janamorcha. The UML, meanwhile, leads the second alliance, and its members are the Upendra Yadav-led Janata Samajbadi, the royalist Rastriya Prajatantra Party and other smaller parties. Bhojraj Pokharel, former chief election commissioner, says political parties are yet to get a full maturity, which means the capability to avoid provocation, develop more understanding and engage in logic-based decision-making. “Nepali political parties should first institutionalize themselves which means intra-party good governance, collective leadership, less factions and interest groups.” It was due to the lack of intra-party democracy that former prime minister and UML chair KP Sharma Oli dissolved parliament twice. Analysts say as long as intra-party democracy is lacking and several parties are running the government with their own set of interests and agendas, Nepal cannot achieve political stability. They reckon the November 20 elections too won’t deliver a stable government, as more than two parties are set to form the next government. An agreement between either NC and Maoist or UML and Maoist to lead the government on equal terms could sow the seeds of instability. Political analyst Bishnu Dahal says, as a single party getting the majority votes is slim, Nepal is on the course of yet another period of political instability. “In previous elections, political stability at least used to be one of the planks of parties. This time, they themselves have planted the seeds of instability,” says Dahal. 1959 election Total seats: 109 Nepali Congress: 74 Nepal Rastrabadi Gorkha Parishad: 19 Samyukta Prajatantra Party: 5 Communist Party of Nepal: 4 Nepal Praja Parishad(Mishra): 1 Nepal Praja Parishad(Acharya): 2 Independent:4 1991 elections Total seats: 205 Nepali Congress: 110 CPN-UML: 69 Sangyuta Jana Morcha: 9 Nepal Sadbhawana Party: 6 Rastriya Prajatantra Party(Chand):3 Nepal Majdoor Kishan Party: 2 Nepal Communist Party(Pragatishil): 2 Rastriya Prajatantra Party(Thapa): 1 Independent: 1 1993 elections Total seats: 205 CPN-UML: 88 Nepali Congress: 83 Rastriya Prajatantra Party: 20 Nepal Majodoor Kishna Party: 4 Nepal Sadbhawana Party: 3 Independent: 7 1999 elections Total seats: 205 Nepali Congress: 111 CPN-UML: 71 Rastriya Prajatantra Party: 11 Nepal Sadbhawna Party: 5 Sangyukta Jana Morcha: 5 Nepal Majdoor Kishan Party: 1 Independent: 0 2008: Constituent Assembly elections Total: 601 CPN (Maoist): 226 Nepali Congress: 110 CPN-UML: 103 Madhes Janadhikar Forum: 50 Tarai Madhes Loktantrik Party: 19 Sadbhawana Party: 9 (Note: The remaining seats were won by fringe parties; there were 24 political parties) 2013 Constituent Assembly Elections Total: 601 Nepali Congress: 197 CPN-UML: 174 Maoist: 79 Rastriya Prajatantra Party(Nepal): 24 Sanghaya Samajbadi Forum, Nepal: 15 Madhesi Janadhikar Forum(Loktantrik): 14 Rastriya Prajatantra Party: 13 Terai Madhes Loktantrik Party: 11 Sadbhawana Party: 6 CPN(ML): 5 Nepal Majdoor Kishan Party: 4 2017 Parliamentary Elections Total seats: 275 CPN-UML: 121 Nepali Congress: 63 CPN (Maoist Center): 53 Sanghya Samajbadi Forum: 16 Rastriya Janata Party Forum: 17 Rastriya Prajatantra Party: 1 Naya Shakti Nepal: 1