IMF approves $40.6m for Nepal

Nepali authorities and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) team have reached a staff-level agreement for the fifth review of Nepal’s economic reform program supported by the IMF’s Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement.

The agreement is subject to approval by the IMF Executive Board which will give Nepal access to about $40.6 million in financing.  The agreement is subject to approval by the IMF’s Executive Board. Upon completion of the Executive Board Review, Nepal would have access to SDR 31.4m (about $40.6m), bringing the total IMF financial support disbursed under the ECF to SDR 219.7m (about $283.9m), from a total of SDR 282.42m, according to the statement.

The economic recovery that began in the fiscal year 2023-24 was disrupted by the severe floods in September 2024, which caused widespread damage across critical sectors and further dampened the still-weak domestic demand. Inflation accelerated to 6.1 percent in Dec 2024 due to a spike in food prices following the floods, the statement says.

Nepal’s external position continued to strengthen, bolstered by robust remittances and subdued imports. Accordingly, revenue growth remained modest. Amid the ongoing correction from the post-pandemic credit boom, vulnerabilities in the financial sector are increasing, with the banking sector's non-performing loans reaching 4.4 percent in October 2024, and the financial health of the savings and credit cooperatives (SACCOs) sector deteriorating.

“Growth is expected to gather pace, exceeding 4 percent in 2024-25, supported by stronger public capital expenditure, including on post-flood recovery and reconstruction efforts.

Relatedly, imports are expected to rebound in the second half of the year. Flood-driven food inflation is expected to ease as transport networks are repaired and agricultural output recovers improving the food supply. However, the outlook is subject to important downside risks, including under-execution of growth-enhancing capital projects, an increase in financial sector vulnerabilities, and potential disruption to policy continuity and reform implementation.

Against this background, policies and reforms envisaged under the ECF-supported program remain well-placed to help preserve macroeconomic stability and strengthen Nepal’s policy framework. Growth-friendly fiscal consolidation—by accelerating capital expenditure coupled with stronger revenue mobilization—is critical to boost sustainable and inclusive economic growth.

Timely execution of spending will further support this effort. Monetary policy should continue to follow a data-driven approach to maintain price and external stability while supporting growth. With amendments to the AML Law enacted, the next steps would be to focus on the effectiveness and application of the new legal framework. Amendments of the NRB Act are key to strengthening the central bank’s independence and governance.