Moribund trade in SAARC region

The WTO agreement, a multilateral trade arrangement (MTA), is not a signed agreement. Nepal has been implementing it through the negotiation process for about 1.5 decades. While acquiring WTO membership, Nepal had made commitments on trade in goods, including farm products, trade in services and commitments on TRIPS along with legislative and adjudication commitments. These commitments, including commitments on legislative and adjudication, remain unfulfilled.  

Some of the trade opportunities of the WTO arrangements are security at market access opportunities, uniform sets of rules at borders, fair trade opportunities through elimination of quotas, predictable trading environment, counter to unfair trade practices and access to dispute settlement bodies.

Some of the negative impacts of the WTO arrangements are market access constraints and negative impact on business.

Market access constraints include tariff barriers to poor countries, and constant decline of commodity prices across the countries whereas negative impacts include threat to domestic industry from free imports, revenue loss to government, erosion of SME’s special privilege, farmers’ right to seed (Patent problem), reduced food security due to low productivity and others. 

The implementation of South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA), which began in 2006, stipulates reducing customs duty between 0 and five percent by 2015. However, full implementation of SAFTA has not materialized in a real sense with even exportable products in SAFTA’s sensitive list, though Nepal has reduced the number of sensitive products included in the list to about 1,000 from 1,295. After 2006, countries in the South Asian region have reduced the customs duties to boost intra-South Asian regional trade, which remains below five percent. It is difficult to evaluate the overall impact with import of goods under SAFTA provisions not yet started and revenue compensation mechanism not yet implemented. 

Still, it is quite difficult to reduce the customs duty on non-sensitive products. 

Poor transport network, a difficult access to ports, difficulties in implementation of rules of origin, insufficient trade facilitation measures, un-uniformity in TBT-SPS provisions and documentation within the SAARC region countries have reduced the impact of SAFTA.

We are on the way to achieving greater market access, preferential market access facility and transport, including transit way access. Nepal’s trade with SAARC member-states, barring India, is insignificant as yet. 

Besides SAFTA, there are India-Sri Lanka Free Trade agreement/FTA(1998) and Pakistan-Sri Lanka FTA (2002) for bilateral trade promotion. Nepal has entered into bilateral trade agreements with some countries in South Asia, namely Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, which are crucial for implementation of SAFTA provisions. 

Supply-side constraints, lack of infrastructure, lack of standard lab, trained human resources and coordination can be reduced by implementing bilateral trade agreements within South Asian countries. Bilateral agreements can help increase trade volume within the SAARC region, which is still low, pointing at the status of implementation of these agreements. 

Impractical provisions of SAFTA and bilateral FTA are also to blame for a grim regional trade and cooperation scenario. This calls for integration of SAFTA with the South Asian Regional Investment and Trade Agreement (SARITA).

India and Pakistan perhaps offer the best example of delayed implementation of SAFTA. The relation of individual countries in the South Asian region with the USA and other wealthy countries can explain the status of implementation of SAFTA.

In this context, trade liberalization in the South Asian region will reduce the cost of products in the value chain and supply chain, directly benefiting consumers of countries within the SAARC region. 

Policymakers have considered only some aspects of trade-related consumer welfare and full implementation of SAFTA is still a far cry. 

The current volume of intra-regional trade in South Asia is a paltry 4.8 percent of the total trade of the countries in the region. 

To boost intra-regional trade and economic cooperation, the highest priority should be on dialogue between politicians, producers and consumers along with trust-building initiatives on the part of the civil society.

The writer is a former deputy executive director of TEPC. Views are personal