Nepal struggling to translate FDI pledges into reality

Although foreign investment commitments are on the rise, actual investment inflows have seen a slowdown in recent years.

According to Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB)—the central monetary authority, net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow was Rs 19.48bn in 2019/20. Net FDI inflows improved slightly to Rs 19.51bn in 2020/21 when the Covid-19 pandemic was at its peak. However, FDI inflows started to decline in 2021/22. The declines were more severe in fiscal years 2022/23 and 2023/24.

Data provided by the central bank shows FDI inflows dropped to Rs 18.56bn in 2021/22. Such inflows marked a sharp decline to just Rs 6.17bn in 2022/23. Although FDI inflows recovered slightly to Rs 8.4bn 2023/24, it was still 56.87 percent lower compared to 2019/20.

The slowdown in FDI inflow is expected to continue in the current fiscal year as well, as Nepal has received net FDI inflow of Rs 2.71bn only in the first two months of the current fiscal year 2024/25.

While the central bank's FDI inflow figures paint a disappointing picture, investment commitments have been increasing in post-covid years. Nepal received foreign investment commitments of a whopping Rs 61.9bn 2023/24. However, the central bank says that only around 35 percent of investment commitments typically materialize as net investments.

Experts say the government’s loose monetary and fiscal policies created a favorable environment for domestic investment in the post-covid years. This encouraged foreign investors to commit funds to Nepal. However, investors are keeping their investment on hold due to tighter policies in successive years.

The Foreign Investment and Technology Transfer Act, 2019, has laid the ground for foreign individuals, firms, companies, non-resident Nepalis, foreign governments, international institutions, and organized institutions to bring capital, technology and other investments to Nepal.

In 2023/24, only 13.59 percent of foreign investment commitments materialized. According to the Department of Industry (DoI), foreign investment approvals during the year totaled Rs 61.78bn. However, data from the central bank reveals that net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows stood at just Rs 8.4bn.

The trend of low FDI realization is not new. In 2022/23, net FDI inflows were Rs 6.17bn, representing only 16.06 percent of the Rs 38.4bn in approved foreign investments. Similarly, in 2021/22, Nepal received foreign investment commitments of Rs 54.15bn, but only 34.27 percent, or Rs 18.56bn, turned into actual inflows.

For the current fiscal year, the DoI has received foreign investment commitments worth Rs 18.66bn in the first four months alone. These commitments were made by 263 firms that secured investment approvals during the period.