Nepal as a green society

Climate change has been one of the most pressing issues in recent decades, presenting an overwhelming challenge for scientists, and social, economic, and political systems around the world. The alarming rate of environmental and natural disasters in recent years poses a serious threat to the entire Earth.

While scientists have been warning about the severity of the issue for long, not until recently has it caught the attention of the public and politicians. This increase in consciousness has been changing how a society, in general, should define prosperity and the means to achieve it.

Greenhouse gasses are the major drivers of climate change. Ever since the advent of the industrial era, human activities have added an enormous amount of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere, causing a rise in global temperatures. Energy-use is responsible for emissions of almost three-fourth greenhouse gasses. Growing thirst for cheaper fuel sources to meet the society’s unquenchable energy demands is causing emission-induced climate change. This has disturbed nature, leading to environmental calamities.

Energy is fundamental to life and for the development of human society. The history of human civilization has been categorized based on the way humans recognized and used energy. The ability to create and control fire gave humans a massive advantage over animals. The Iron Age, the Bronze Age, and the Copper Age were all distinguished by the amount and intensity of energy humans used for social transformation.  From firewood to coal, and from petroleum to nuclear energy, humans have come a long way when it comes to harnessing energy.

But due to competition-driven globalization and open market economy a compromise has been made on the quality of energy. Fossil-based fuels for economic development flourished over the past 100 years. The downside of these 100 years of progress and prosperity is an unprecedented global environmental damage.

Learning from past mistakes, human civilization is slowly understanding the need of a “Carbon Neutral Society”. This would be a new era for humanity, a paradigm shift towards understanding the unity between ‘habit and habitat’. The Carbon Neutral Society demands strong political conviction and transformation at the individual, institutional, and societal levels. To achieve a green society, we need to adopt green energy and green conduct, which should be reflected in our thoughts and behaviors.

Has Nepali society gained the maturity to understand the concept of green society? How can our fatalism and modern social norms be transformed to meet the foundations for the creation of Carbon Neutral Society? What roles should politicians, government, academia, and think-tanks play? What are the indicators and influencing factors that guide this process?

A green society demands social transformation first, a paradigm shift in consciousness to feel unity with other living beings and the environment. A green economy is not for a society where only a small part of the population works while the remainder survives exploiting them. A green civilization demands society to work as one living organism. The communities which have understood this principle are transforming towards a greener sustainable society.

After decades of natural calamities and scientific evidence of even more environmental disasters, the modern scientific society’s sensitivity to make the planet liveable for future generations is rising. Such awareness is being converted into impactful outcomes through political interventions.

For a country like Nepal, the awareness level is still not mature. Several focused campaigns and targeted programs are still necessary to elevate the general conscience.

Kathmandu University has conceived a joint multi-disciplinary program called the “Green Society Initiative”, targeting transformation at three different progressive levels. This includes green thoughts and lifestyle at the individual level, a low carbon system and practices at the institutional level, and a sustainable economic ecosystem at the community level.

Broad participation from government, development agencies, private sector and civil society is necessary for a meaningful impact of this initiative.

The author is Assistant Professor, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Kathmandu University

Opinion | Can Nepal transition to a green hydrogen economy?

Nepal is among the countries most vulnerable to climate change and its effects, including severe water-induced disasters and extreme hydro-meteorological events such as drought, storms, floods and inundation, landslides, debris flows, soil erosion, and avalanches.

The energy-related Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions accounting for two-thirds of global greenhouse gas emissions are primarily responsible for climate change. For a reasonable likelihood of staying below 1.5 °C of global warming, net anthropogenic GHG emissions should decline by around 45 percent by 2030, from 2010 levels, reaching net-zero by around 2050. As a result, many governments are proposing GHG reduction and/or net-zero emission policies.

At present more than Rs 200 billion a year is used to import fossil fuels in Nepal, which is around 10 percent of our GDP. The demand for fossil fuel here is expected to rise six times in 2050 compared to 2010. While the rest of the world is gearing up to cut dependency on fossil fuels, such exponential growth in demand for petroleum products in Nepal is alarming. The rapid increase in the loss of Nepal Oil Corporation due to the high demand for subsidized imported fuels is a serious threat to the national economy. It is high time for strategic decisions and impactful action to help Nepal transition to carbon neutrality and energy independence.

Hydropower development has been a national priority, with more than 20,000 MW of projects under different stages of development. The forecast domestic demand for electricity for the next few years is much lower than its production. The peak demand for electricity for 2021 was already lower than installed capacity. By the end of 2028, Nepal could have an excess of 3500 MW of installed hydropower projects, whose production might go to waste if proper energy management and policies are not soon defined.

Export of excess hydroelectricity through a cross-border grid connecting South Asian countries is being discussed. But geopolitical complexities and high energy prices in Nepal may limit this possibility. Increasing domestic consumption of electricity by such a large amount in a short period seems impractical too. There is thus a need for a consolidated approach to replace the surging demand for fossil fuels with the surplus supply of electricity.

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Hydrogen is one of the globally emerging carriers of renewable electricity, contributing to a low carbon economy. Hydrogen is extracted from water using an electro-chemical machine called an electrolyzer. The hydrogen gas produced from renewable energy sources is green hydrogen. At present, the average cost of green hydrogen on the international market is $3-5 a kg, and the target is to bring it below $1 a kg by the end of this decade. Groundbreaking research and innovation and policy-based interventions to promote renewables as the primary supply of energy is pushing green hydrogen to overtake fossil fuel both technically and economically.

Hydrogen alone could be responsible for 22 percent of global energy demand by 2050, from less than 0.1 percent at present. Oil-producing counties in the Gulf have already started investing in mega-scale green hydrogen production from solar panels installed in deserts. Oman is preparing a 30GW green hydrogen production facility, ahead of UAE with 25GW. Saudi Arabia is about to complete a 4GW production facility in its zero-carbon Neom City. India has announced its “National Hydrogen Mission for Energy Independence by 2047” by pumping $1.35 trillion on hydrogen infrastructure.  Australia, Canada, China, and the US are also announcing their mega-scale projects. Strategic investments at present will lead to a higher share of the global market in green hydrogen in the future.

Green hydrogen can be produced with daily and seasonal variations in electricity demand and supply. This can be effective in maintaining the quality and reliability of the national grid, increasing productivity for end-users. For the run-off-river projects, green hydrogen can act as a virtual reservoir in wet seasons. In Nepal, the projected surplus electricity energy ranges from a minimum of 2,102 GWh for 2022 to 16,820 GWh for 2028. When this surplus energy is used to produce hydrogen, annual production will vary between a minimum of 8,410 tons with 20 percent surplus energy utilization in 2022, to a maximum of 336,384 tons with 100 percent utilization in 2028.

Hydrogen produced in 2028 can replace approximately 1.2 million kL of gasoline fuels from the transport and industrial sectors in Nepal. About 80,000 tons of green hydrogen can meet the current national demand of 800,000 tons of urea fertilizer a year. Use of green hydrogen as a clean heat in household and industrial applications can reduce dependency on solid fuels, coal, LPG, and furnace oils by large amounts. There are possibilities for existing and future process-based industries like mining and steel, vegetable ghee, and chemical industries to create demand for green hydrogen locally and promote sustainable low-carbon industrial development.

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There is a need for a consolidated program initiated and owned by the government to establish and incubate a green hydrogen economy for Nepal, and to prepare the business sector to take over commercial applications in a competitive manner in local, regional, and international markets.

It is high time for energy transition in Nepal with proper use of its immense hydropower and abundant solar energy sources to strategically replace fossil fuels in both commercial and residential sectors. Green hydrogen can play a vital role as an energy carrier and could be one of the promising links in energy transition for Nepal. This will have a significant impact on the energy mix of the country and energy export alternatives. The transition process demands strong political and social commitments, high-level knowledge transfers from university to the industry and business sector, and willingness from the commercial and business sectors to diversify their income with green hydrogen.

Kathmandu University (KU) has recently established the Green Hydrogen Lab with a vision “Nepalese industries specialized to produce, store, transport, and use green hydrogen energy at a commercial level”. KU has been conducting research to adapt global technological advancements in the context of Nepal and lobbying the government, private and other stakeholders for policy-based intervention of green hydrogen.

Recently, the Ministry of Energy has formed a coordination committee under the secretariat of the Water and Energy Commission to study the role of green hydrogen for balancing demand and supply of hydropower. The study report is expected to recommend a policy-level decision to open the door for incubating businesses based on green hydrogen technology for the public and private sectors.

The author is Team Leader, Green Hydrogen Lab and Assistant Professor, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Kathmandu University