How AI is set to disrupt old industries
Beyond the Himalayas, a quiet but powerful revolution is taking shape. Nepal, a nation long defined by agriculture and tourism, is on the brink of a technological disruption that is poised to redefine its economic future.
Artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced tech are no longer distant concepts but immediate, powerful tools set to overhaul the country’s core industries. The opportunities are not merely incremental; they represent a potential leapfrog moment with the capacity to unlock billions in new revenue streams— from IT outsourcing to revolutionizing the farm sector and reimagining the tourism industry.
The most immediate and quantifiable disruption is happening in Nepal’s burgeoning IT outsourcing sector. While the global IT outsourcing market is projected to surge from $651.54bn in 2024 to an astounding $850.73bn by 2029, Nepal is rapidly carving out its own niche. The country’s IT service exports were officially valued at $515m in 2022, marking a staggering 64.2 percent growth from the previous year. However, this figure only hints at the true scale of the boom. In the first seven months of the 2024/25 fiscal year, official records show IT exports at Rs 12.41bn (about $92m), yet industry entrepreneurs insist the real annual figure is closer to a whopping $1bn. This massive discrepancy highlights a thriving, partially untracked digital economy fueled by a young, English-speaking talent pool and significantly lower operational costs, with developer salaries averaging around $10,000 annually.
AI is the catalyst transforming this sector from a traditional Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) hub into a center for high-value, specialized services. By automating repetitive tasks like data entry and basic customer care, AI is freeing up Nepal’s tech workforce to focus on complex, in-demand fields like data analytics, machine learning engineering, and cybersecurity. This shift allows Nepali firms to move up the value chain, enhancing their global competitiveness and positioning them as ideal partners for international collaboration. The opportunity is immense. Nepal can formalize these untracked earnings and build a multi-billion-dollar industry that rivals traditional exports.
Simultaneously, AI is poised to bring a much-needed revolution to agriculture, the backbone of Nepal’s economy, which employs over 60 percent of the population but has long been hampered by traditional methods and low productivity. The disruption here is foundational. AI-powered precision farming, using drones and sensors for real-time crop monitoring, pest detection, and soil analysis, can optimize the use of water and fertilizer, drastically improving efficiency. Predictive analytics, fueled by AI, can analyze weather patterns and market trends, empowering farmers with the foresight to select the right crops and planting times, mitigating risks from climate unpredictability.
Start-ups like GeoKrishi are already building integrated, data-driven platforms to bring these tools to smallholder farmers. Furthermore, technology like blockchain is creating transparent supply chains through initiatives like AgriClear, building consumer trust and ensuring farmers receive fair prices by connecting them directly to markets. This is not just about marginal improvements; it’s about transforming a sector that accounts for a quarter of the nation’s GDP, boosting food security, and creating a new generation of tech-savvy agricultural jobs.
Tourism, the third pillar of Nepal’s economy, is also ripe for an AI-driven reinvention. The opportunity lies in moving beyond conventional tourism to offer hyper-personalized, safer, and more efficient travel experiences.
AI-powered platforms can act as personal travel planners, crafting bespoke itineraries tailored to each visitor’s unique preferences. This technology can also revolutionize safety and sustainability—critical concerns in a country known for adventure tourism. AI models can provide early warnings for natural disasters like floods and earthquakes. Innovative start-ups like Airlift Technology are already deploying drones to clean up waste from Sagarmatha, tackling a major environmental challenge.
This creates a powerful new narrative for Nepal as a “smart” and responsible destination. The disruption extends to creating entirely new markets, such as AI-enabled health tourism, which would merge world-class medical care with Nepal’s unique wellness traditions. By enhancing every facet of the visitor journey, AI presents an opportunity to significantly increase tourism revenue and solidify Nepal’s standing on the world stage.
Nepal stands at a pivotal moment. The convergence of AI and technology offers more than just modernization; it presents a strategic opportunity to disrupt legacy systems and build a resilient, diversified, and globally competitive economy. The potential is measured not only in the billions of dollars waiting to be unlocked in IT, agriculture, and tourism, but in the creation of new industries and high-skilled jobs that could define the nation's prosperity for generations to come.