The CPN-UML will garner more seats under the proportional representation (PR) category while the Nepali Congress will secure more seats under the first-past-the-post (FPTP) category, the poll survey conducted by the Annapurna Media Network said.
When asked, who do you want as the future prime minister of Nepal?
Most of the people want UML Chairman KP Sharma Oli as the prime minister of the country.
When asked the second question, who was the best prime minister so far?
Most of the people said Oli.
The survey was conducted among 19,858 voters in 165 constituencies of 77 districts.
The surveyors were deployed in every area of the country from October 16-30 for this purpose.
The survey was conducted again for three days after the major political parties unveiled their election manifestos.
Ruling coalition ahead
According to the public opinion survey, it seems that the ruling coalition will garner more seats than the UML-Janata Samajbadi Party (JSP) alliance.
Nepali Congress will win 95-105 seats while CPN (Maoist Center) 30-40, CPN (Unified Socialist) 9-12, Democratic Socialist Party 2-4 and Janamorcha 1-2 seats combining the seats of FPTP and proportional representation categories.
According to the survey, the UML will win 90-100 seats and JSP 8-12 seats.
Meanwhile, Rastriya Swatantra Party will secure 10-15 seats, Rastriya Prajatantra Party 6-10, Nepal Workers’ and Peasants’ Party (NWPP) and Nagarik Unmukti Party one each and independent candidates 6 to 10 seats.
Nepali Congress will win 59-63 seats, CPN (Maoist Center) 17-21, CPN (Unified Socialist) 9-12, Democratic Socialist Party 1-4 and Janamorcha 1-2 seats under the FPTP category. UML is likely to win 47-52 seats and JSP 4-8 seats.
Likewise, Rastriya Swatantra Party will be limited to 1-5 seats and RPP 2-6 seats.
Most of the people want Oli to be Nepal’s next prime minister
When asked, who will be the next prime minister of Nepal?
Among the participants, 31.13 percent have chosen KP Sharma Oli. According to the survey, 20. 69 percent want Sher Bahadur Deuba to be the prime minister, 11.26 Pushpa Kamal Dahal, 12.06 others and 24. 86 voted for none.
Even those who want to vote for other parties also like to see Oli as the prime minister.
Similarly, when asked, who has had the best tenure among the prime ministers so far?
Among the participants, 34.60 percent said KP Oli, 12.20 voted for Sher Bahadur Deuba, 13. 09 percent for Pushpa Kamal Dahal, 13. 33 percent for others and 26. 79 percent for none.
UML will garner more seats under proportional representation category
The people, who took part in the survey, said that UML will win 34 percent (40 seats), Nepali Congress 30 percent (36 seats), CPN (Maoist Center) 11 percent (14 seats) and Rastriya Swatantra Party 9 percent (10 seats).
Likewise, Janata Samajbadi Party and Rastriya Prajatantra Party will win 4 percent each (5 seats each).
The Annapurna Media Network carried out this exclusive survey in coordination with Media Outlet.
The ‘margin of error’ is considered to be 5 percent.